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Modern scientific polling, using smaller but representative samples, is usually credited to Gallup, Crossley and Roper starting in what year?

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about 10%

About what share of people contacted for a phone survey actually respond, in recent years?

Survey response rates have fallen sharply, down to about 10% in recent years as people grow warier of unsolicited calls.

Source: Wikipedia, Opinion poll (2020) en.wikipedia.org

1824

In what U.S. presidential election year is the first known opinion poll usually traced to?

The first known opinion poll dates to the 1824 U.S. presidential election, when two Delaware newspapers tallied voter preferences.

Source: Wikipedia, Opinion poll (2024) en.wikipedia.org

'Dewey Defeats Truman'

Which famous 1948 polling failure predicted the wrong winner of the U.S. presidential election?

Pollsters and even a famous newspaper headline wrongly called the 1948 election for Thomas Dewey; Harry Truman won instead.

Source: Wikipedia, Opinion poll (2024) en.wikipedia.org

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Each question asks you to guess a real number about surveys, polling and public opinion research. After you answer you see how everyone else guessed, then the real figure and where it comes from.

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Four stats and one opinion poll. A correct guess earns 100 points plus up to 50 for speed, with a combo bonus for answers in a row. The range next to the right answer earns 40. Opinion polls earn 25 for having your say, and nailing every stat adds 150.

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